In response to the high-noise, nonlinear, and nonstationary characteristics of vibration signals from aircraft environmental control system (ECS) turbofan rolling bearings, this paper proposes a diagnostic method for the degree of ECS turbofan bearing faults based on the Hidden Markov Model (HMM). Experimental results demonstrate that HMM can accurately diagnose and predict faults in ECS turbofan rolling bearings. The HMM method enhances diagnostic accuracy, and its effectiveness and feasibility in fault diagnosis based on different rolling bearing fault instances are elaborated. By employing the HMM model to establish precise models from decomposed dynamic data, it successfully identifies faults such as the fracture of the bearing cage under biased load conditions, although its performance in recognizing overheating faults is suboptimal.
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